A clinical and economic assessment of adjuvanted trivalent versus standard egg-derived quadrivalent influenza vaccines among older adults in the United States during the 2018-19 and 2019-20 influenza seasons.

BACKGROUND: Clinical evidence supports use of enhanced influenza vaccines in older adults. Few economic outcome studies have compared adjuvanted trivalent inactivated (aIIV3) and standard egg-derived quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccines (IIV4e). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted leveraging deidentified US hospital data linked to claims data during the 2018-19 and 2019-20 influenza seasons. Relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) was compared in adults aged ≥ 65 years receiving aIIV3 or IIV4e using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and Poisson regression. An economic assessment quantified potential real-world cost savings. RESULTS: The study included 715,807 aIIV3 and 320,991 IIV4e recipients in the 2018-19 and 844,169 aIIV3 and 306,270 IIV4e recipients in the 2019-20 influenza seasons. aIIV3 was significantly more effective than IIV4e in preventing cardiorespiratory disease (2018-19 rVE = 6.2%; and 2019-20 rVE = 6.0%) and respiratory disease (2018-19 rVE = 8.9%; and 2019-20 rVE = 10.1%). During the 2018-19 influenza season cardiorespiratory hospitalization cost savings for the aIIV3 population were $392 M, and $221 M for the 2019-20 season. Respiratory hospitalization cost savings for the aIIV3 population were $145 M and $97 M, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that aIIV3 provides clinical and economic advantages versus IIV4e in the elderly.

Flu vaccines do not work as well in older adults due to the aging of their immune system. One approach to improving vaccine efficacy is the addition of a substance, or adjuvant, to the vaccine in order to boost an individual's immune response. This study evaluated an adjuvanted vaccine compared to an unadjuvanted vaccine for preventing cardiorespiratory hospitalizations and hospitalization costs. The findings demonstrated that the adjuvanted flu vaccine, compared to the unadjuvanted vaccine, prevented more hospitalizations and greatly reduced associated hospital costs.

Modelling the population-level benefits and cost-effectiveness of cell-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine for children and adolescents aged 6 months to 17 years in the US.

BACKGROUND: Cell-based quadrivalent influenza vaccines (QIVc) can increase effectiveness against seasonal influenza by avoiding mismatch from egg adaption of vaccine viruses. This study evaluates the population-level cost-effectiveness and impacts on health outcomes of QIVc versus an egg-based vaccine (QIVe) in children aged 6 months to 17 years in the US. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A dynamic age-structured susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model was used to simulate influenza transmission in low and high incidence seasons for two scenarios: 1. QIVe for 6 months-17 year-olds, QIVc for 18-64 year-olds, and adjuvanted QIV (aQIV) for ≥ 65 year-olds, and 2. QIVc for 6 months-64 year-olds, and aQIV for ≥ 65 year-olds. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to account for uncertainty in parameter estimates. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: Extension of QIVc to children resulted in 3-4% reductions in cases (1,656,271), hospitalizations (16,688), and deaths (2,126) at a population level in a high incidence season, and 65% reductions (cases: 2,856,384; hospitalizations: 31667; deaths: 4,163) in a low incidence season. Use of QIVc would be cost-saving, with ICERs of -$16,427/QALY and -$8,100/QALY from a payer perspective and -$22,669/QALY and -$15,015/QALY from a societal perspective, for low and high incidence seasons respectively. Cost savings were estimated at approximately $468 million and $1.366 billion for high and low incidence seasons, respectively. CONCLUSION: Use of QIVc instead of QIVe in children > 6 months of age in the US would reduce the disease burden and be cost-saving from both a payer and societal perspective.

The Impact of Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine on Disease Severity in the US: A Stochastic Model.

Influenza can exacerbate underlying medical conditions. In this study, we modelled the potential impact of an egg-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVe) or adjuvanted QIV (aQIV) on hospitalizations and mortality from influenza-related cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory, and other complications in adults ≥65 years of age in the US with underlying chronic conditions. We used a stochastic decision-tree model, with 1000 simulations varying input across predicted ranges. Due to the variable nature of influenza across seasons and differences in published estimates for input parameters, data are presented as 95% confidence intervals. Compared with no vaccination, use of aQIV would prevent 135,450-564,360 hospitalizations and 1612-29,226 deaths across outcomes evaluated. Overall, aQIV prevented 1071-18,388 more hospitalizations and 85-1944 more deaths than QIVe. By routine seasonal vaccination against influenza, a substantial number of severe influenza-associated complications and deaths, caused by direct influenza symptoms or by exacerbation of chronic conditions, can be prevented in high-risk adults ≥65 years of age in the US.

Vaccine Effectiveness of Cell-Based Quadrivalent Influenza Vaccine in Children: A Narrative Review.

Cell-based manufacturing of seasonal influenza vaccines eliminates the risk of egg-adaptation of candidate vaccine viruses, potentially increasing vaccine effectiveness (VE). We present an overview of published data reporting the VE and cost-effectiveness of a cell-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVc) in preventing influenza-related outcomes in the pediatric population. We identified 16 clinical studies that included data on the VE of a QIVc or the relative VE (rVE) of a QIVc versus an egg-based QIV (QIVe) in children and/or adolescents, 11 of which presented estimates specifically for the pediatric age group. Of these, two studies reported rVE against hospitalizations. Point estimates of rVE varied from 2.1% to 33.0%, with studies reporting significant benefits of using a QIVc against influenza-related, pneumonia, asthma, and all-cause hospitalization. Four studies reported rVE against influenza-related medical encounters, with point estimates against non-strain specific encounters ranging from 3.9% to 18.8% across seasons. One study evaluated rVE against any influenza, with variable results by strain. The other four studies presented VE data against laboratory-confirmed influenza. Three health economics studies focusing on a pediatric population also found the use of QIVc to be cost-effective or cost-saving. Overall, using a QIVc is effective in pediatric patients, with evidence of incremental benefits over using a QIVe in preventing hospitalizations and influenza-related medical encounters in nearly all published studies.

Contributions of cost-effectiveness analyses (CEA) to influenza vaccination policy for older adults in Europe.

This review describes the importance of economic evaluations and real-world evidence (RWE) for the assessment of enhanced influenza vaccines for older adults in Europe. Individuals ≥65 years of age are at increased risk of severe influenza outcomes and many countries in Europe recommend enhanced vaccines for this population to mitigate immunosenescence. Some National Immunization Technical Advisory Groups (NITAGs) may preferentially recommend a specific enhanced vaccine, necessitating comparative economic evaluation and estimation of relative vaccine effectiveness between enhanced vaccine options in the absence of direct head-to-head efficacy data. Distinct approaches to economic modeling and cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) guide national vaccination policies in Europe, including how underlying data, such as RWE, are used in these models. RWE is an important evidence source for input into CEA models based on disease factors (e.g., antigenic shift and seasonal variation) and practical factors (e.g., limitations of performing multiple randomized clinical trials to capture seasonal variation; the need to obtain relevant patient-oriented, real-world endpoints, such as hospitalizations). CEA is considered crucial to vaccine assessment among certain countries in Europe, but further harmonization of economic evaluations, including the use of RWE, across NITAGs in Europe may be of benefit, alongside standardized approaches for vaccine appraisal. In the future, more countries may use RWE as an input in CEA models to support NITAG recommendations for enhanced influenza vaccines in older populations, especially considering the value of RWE for the assessment of influenza epidemiology and vaccine effectiveness as stated by the World Health Organization, and the availability of a broad RWE base for certain enhanced vaccines.

Cost-effectiveness of the adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine in the elderly Belgian population.

BACKGROUND: Between 2015 and 2019, when 62% of Belgian adults aged ≥65 years were vaccinated with standard quadrivalent influenza vaccines, influenza caused an average of 3,905 hospitalizations and 347 premature deaths per year in older adults. The objective of the present analysis was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine (aQIV) compared to the standard (SD-QIV) and high-dose (HD-QIV) vaccines in elderly Belgians. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The analysis was based on a static cost-effectiveness model that captured the evolution of patients infected with influenza and was customized with available national data. RESULTS: Vaccinating adults aged ≥65 years with aQIV instead of SD-QIV would decrease the number of hospitalizations by 530 and the number of deaths by 66 in the 2023-2024 influenza season. aQIV was cost-effective compared to SD-QIV with an incremental cost of €15,227/quality-adjusted life year (QALY). aQIV is cost-saving when compared to HD-QIV in the subgroup of institutionalized elderly adults who were granted reimbursement for this vaccine. CONCLUSION: In a health care system striving to improve the prevention of infectious diseases, a cost-effective vaccine such as aQIV is a key asset to reduce the number of influenza-related hospitalizations and premature deaths in older adults.

Many older Belgians who get the flu are likely to go to hospital or even die. Some flu vaccines have been specially designed for adults 65 years old and older including one that contains a higher amount of flu particles and another that contains a unique additive called an adjuvant. Both vaccines improve the body's response to flu infection, but the adjuvanted vaccine is not yet available in Belgium. We used an economic model to compare hypothetical medical spending on Belgians who were vaccinated with the adjuvanted flu vaccine, the high dose flu vaccine, and a standard flu vaccine. We found that the adjuvanted vaccine would reduce flu hospitalizations and deaths in the elderly, which would in turn reduce medical spending on influenza in Belgium.

Real-World Evidence in Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Enhanced Influenza Vaccines in Adults ≥ 65 Years of Age: Literature Review and Expert Opinion.

Influenza vaccination can benefit most populations, including adults ≥ 65 years of age, who are at greater risk of influenza-related complications. In many countries, enhanced vaccines, such as adjuvanted, high-dose, and recombinant trivalent/quadrivalent influenza vaccines (aTIV/aQIV, HD-TIV/HD-QIV, and QIVr, respectively), are recommended in older populations to provide higher immunogenicity and increased relative vaccine efficacy/effectiveness (rVE) than standard-dose vaccines. This review explores how efficacy and effectiveness data from randomized controlled trials and real-world evidence (RWE) are used in economic evaluations. Findings from published cost-effectiveness analyses (CEA) on enhanced influenza vaccines for older adults are summarized, and the assumptions and approaches used in these CEA are assessed alongside discussion of the importance of RWE in CEA. Results from many CEA showed that adjuvanted and high-dose enhanced vaccines were cost-effective compared with standard vaccines, and that differences in rVE estimates and acquisition price may drive differences in cost-effectiveness estimates between enhanced vaccines. Overall, RWE and CEA provide clinical and economic rationale for enhanced vaccine use in people ≥ 65 years of age, an at-risk population with substantial burden of disease. Countries that consider RWE when making vaccine recommendations have preferentially recommended aTIV/aQIV, as well as HD-TIV/HD-QIV and QIVr, to protect older individuals.

Cost-Effectiveness of the Use of Adjuvanted Quadrivalent Seasonal Influenza Vaccine in Older Adults in Ireland.

BACKGROUND: Enhanced vaccines (e.g., containing adjuvants) have shown increased immunogenicity and effectiveness in older adults, who often respond sub-optimally to conventional influenza vaccines. In this study, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of an inactivated, seasonal, MF59-adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine (aQIV) for use in adults ≥ 65 years in Ireland. METHODS: A published dynamic influenza model incorporating social contact, population immunity, and epidemiological data was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of aQIV in adults ≥ 65 years of age compared with a non-adjuvanted QIV. Sensitivity analysis was performed for influenza incidence, relative vaccine effectiveness, excess mortality, and the impact on bed occupancy from co-circulating influenza and COVID-19. RESULTS: The use of aQIV resulted in discounted incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of EUR 2420/quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and EUR 12,970/QALY from societal and payer perspectives, respectively, both of which are below the cost-effectiveness threshold of EUR 45,000/QALY. Sensitivity analysis showed that aQIV was effective in most scenarios, except when relative vaccine effectiveness compared to QIV was below 3%, and resulted in a modest reduction in excess bed occupancy. CONCLUSION: The use of aQIV for adults ≥ 65 years old in Ireland was shown to be highly cost-effective from both payer and societal perspectives.

Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccination of Older Adults with an MF59®-Adjuvanted Quadrivalent Influenza Vaccine Compared to Standard-Dose and High-Dose Vaccines in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden.

Individuals aged 65 years and above are at increased risk of complications and death from influenza compared with any other age group. Enhanced vaccines, as the MF59®-adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine (aQIV) and the high-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine (HD-QIV), provide increased protection for older adults in comparison to the traditional standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccines (SD-QIV). This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of aQIV compared to SD-QIV and HD-QIV in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden for adults aged ≥65 years. A static decision tree model was used to evaluate costs and outcomes of different vaccination strategies from healthcare payer and societal perspectives. This model projects that compared to SD-QIV, vaccination with aQIV could prevent a combined total of 18,772 symptomatic influenza infections, 925 hospitalizations, and 161 deaths in one influenza season across the three countries. From a healthcare payer perspective, the incremental costs per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained with aQIV versus SD-QIV were EUR 10,170/QALY in Denmark, EUR 12,515/QALY in Norway, and EUR 9894/QALY in Sweden. The aQIV was cost saving compared with HD-QIV. This study found that introducing aQIV to the entire population aged ≥65 years may contribute to reducing the disease and economic burden associated with influenza in these countries.

Estimating the impact of influenza vaccination of low-risk 50-64-year-olds on acute and ICU hospital bed usage in an influenza season under endemic COVID-19 in the UK.

Co-circulation of influenza and SARS-CoV-2 has the potential to place considerable strain on health-care services. We estimate the cost-effectiveness and health-care resource utilization impacts of influenza vaccination of low-risk 50-64-y-olds in the United Kingdom (UK) against a background SARS-CoV-2 circulation. A dynamic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model was used to simulate influenza transmission, with varying rates of vaccine coverage in the low-risk 50-64 y age-group. Four scenarios were evaluated: no vaccination (baseline), 40%, 50%, and 60% coverage. For the 50% and 60% coverage, this rate was also applied to high-risk 50-64-y-olds, whereas 48.6% was used for the baseline and 40% coverage scenarios. Cost-effectiveness was estimated in terms of humanistic outcomes and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), with discounting applied at 3%. Overall, influenza vaccination of 50-64-y-olds resulted in reductions in GP visits, hospitalizations, and deaths, with a reduction in influenza-related mortality of 34%, 41%, and 52% for 40%, 50%, and 60% coverage, respectively. All four scenarios resulted in acute and intensive care unit (ICU) bed occupancy levels above available capacity, although vaccination of low-risk 50-64-y-olds resulted in a 35-54% and 16-25% decrease in excess acute and ICU bed requirements, respectively. Vaccination of this group against influenza was highly cost-effective from the payer perspective, with ICERs of £2,200-£2,343/quality-adjusted life year across the coverage rates evaluated. In conclusion, in the UK, vaccination of low-risk 50-64-y-olds against influenza is cost-effective and can aid in alleviating bed shortages in a situation where influenza and SARS-CoV-2 are co-circulating.

Estimating the Impact of Influenza Vaccination on Acute and ICU Hospital Bed Usage in an Influenza Season under Endemic COVID-19 in the US.

In 2021-2022, influenza vaccine coverage in the US dropped below pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels. Cocirculation of COVID-19 and influenza could place a substantial burden on hospital utilization in future seasons, particularly given the reduced exposure to influenza during the pandemic. We used a dynamic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model to simulate influenza transmission with varying influenza vaccine coverage against a background of COVID-19 circulation, in order to estimate acute and ICU hospital bed occupancy for both diseases. We evaluated two vaccine scenarios: egg-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVe) for all age groups or cell-based QIV (QIVc) for 0.5-64 year-olds with adjuvanted QIV (aQIV) for ≥65 year-olds. ICU bed availability was more limiting than general hospital bed availability, with a vaccine coverage of ≥70% required to avoid negatively impacting ICU bed availability in a high-incidence influenza season. The timing of disease peaks was a key factor together with vaccine coverage, with a difference of ≥50 days needed between peak influenza and COVID-19 bed usage together with 65% influenza vaccine coverage to avoid negative impacts. QIVc + aQIV resulted in lower bed occupancy which, while not substantial, may be critical in very high hospital resource usage situations. In a situation with co-circulating influenza and COVID-19, proactive vaccination planning could help to avert overwhelming healthcare systems in upcoming influenza seasons.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Cell Versus Egg-Based Seasonal Influenza Vaccination in Children and Adults in Argentina.

Background: Quadrivalent cell-based influenza vaccines (QIVc) avoid egg-adaptive mutations and can be more effective than traditional quadrivalent egg-based influenza vaccines (QIVe). This analysis compared the cost-effectiveness of QIVc and QIVe in Argentinian populations < 65 years old from the payer and societal perspectives. Methods: A static decision tree model compared the costs and health benefits of vaccination with QIVc vs. QIVe using a one-year time horizon. The relative vaccine effectiveness of QIVc vs. QIVe was assumed to be 8.1% for children and 11.4% for adults. An alternative high egg-adaptation scenario was also assessed. Model inputs were sourced from Argentina or the international literature. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. Results: Compared to QIVe, QIVc would prevent 17,857 general practitioner visits, 2418 complications, 816 hospitalizations, and 12 deaths per year. From the payers' perspective, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per quality-adjusted life years gained was USD12,214 in the base case and USD2311 in the high egg-adaptation scenario. QIVc was cost-saving from the societal perspective in both scenarios. Conclusions: QIVc in Argentina would be cost-effective relative to QIVe. The potential health benefits and savings would be even higher in high egg-adaptation seasons.

The Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccination of Older Adults with an MF59-Adjuvanted Quadrivalent Influenza Vaccine Compared to Other Available Quadrivalent Vaccines in Germany.

Enhanced quadrivalent influenza vaccines that include an adjuvant (aQIV) or a high dose of antigen (QIV-HD), which stimulate a stronger immune response in older adults than the standard vaccine (QIVe), are now approved. The objective of this research is to compare available vaccines and determine the cost-effectiveness of immunizing persons aged 65 years and above with aQIV compared to QIVe and QIV-HD in Germany. A compartmental transmission model calibrated to outpatient visits for influenza in Germany was used to predict the number of medically attended infections using the three vaccines. The rates of hospitalizations, deaths, and other economic consequences were estimated with a decision tree using German data where available. Based on meta-analysis, the rVE of -2.5% to 8.9% for aQIV versus QIV-HD, the vaccines are similar clinically, but aQIV is cost saving compared to QIV-HD (unit cost of EUR 40.55). All results were most sensitive to changes in vaccine effectiveness. aQIV may be cost-effective compared to QIVe depending on the willingness to pay for additional benefits in Germany. As aQIV and QIV-HD are similar in terms of effectiveness, aQIV is cost saving compared to QIV-HD at current unit prices.

An Economic Comparison of Influenza Vaccines Recommended for Use in Eligible Adults under 65 Years in the United Kingdom.

Background: In the United Kingdom (UK), a cell-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVc) and a recombinant vaccine (QIVr) are recommended for eligible adults under 65 years. The objective of this analysis was to determine the potential cost-effectiveness of QIVc compared to QIVr for this age group using a range of assumptions about relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE). Methods: A dynamic transmission model, calibrated to match infection data from the UK, was used to estimate the clinical and economic impact of vaccination across 10 influenza seasons. The list price was £12.50 for QIVc and £22.00 for QIVr. The base case effectiveness of QIVc was 63.9%. As there are no data comparing the vaccines in the 18 to 64-year-old age group, rVE was varied. Results: For the base case, the rVE of QIVr compared with QIVc must be at least 25% in order for the cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained to be £20,000 or lower. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the rVE required for QIVr to be cost-effective was most dependent on the absolute effectiveness of QIVc. Conclusion: At list prices, our analysis predicts that the rVE for QIVr must be at least 25% compared to QIVc in order to be considered cost-effective.

A Real-World Clinical and Economic Analysis of Cell-Derived Quadrivalent Influenza Vaccine Compared to Standard Egg-Derived Quadrivalent Influenza Vaccines During the 2019-2020 Influenza Season in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Cell-derived influenza vaccines are not subject to egg-adaptive mutations that have potential to decrease vaccine effectiveness. This retrospective analysis estimated the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of cell-derived quadrivalent influenza vaccine (IIV4c) compared to standard egg-derived quadrivalent influenza vaccines (IIV4e) among recipients aged 4-64 years in the United States during the 2019-2020 influenza season. METHODS: The IQVIA PharMetrics Plus administrative claims database was utilized. Study outcomes were assessed postvaccination through the end of the study period (7 March 2020). Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was implemented to adjust for covariate imbalance. Adjusted rVE against influenza-related hospitalizations/emergency room (ER) visits and other clinical outcomes was estimated through IPTW-weighted Poisson regression models for the IIV4c and IIV4e cohorts and for the subgroup with ≥1 high-risk condition. Sensitivity analyses modifying the outcome assessment period as well as a doubly-robust analysis were also conducted. IPTW-weighted generalized linear models were used to estimate predicted annualized all-cause costs. RESULTS: The final sample comprised 1 150 134 IIV4c and 3 924 819 IIV4e recipients following IPTW adjustment. IIV4c was more effective in preventing influenza-related hospitalizations/ER visits as well as respiratory-related hospitalizations/ER visits compared to IIV4e. IIV4c was also more effective for the high-risk subgroup and across the sensitivity analyses. IIV4c was also associated with significantly lower annualized all-cause total costs compared to IIV4e (-$467), driven by lower costs for outpatient medical services and inpatient hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: IIV4c was significantly more effective in preventing influenza-related hospitalizations/ER visits compared to IIV4e and was associated with significantly lower all-cause costs.

The Epidemiological and Economic Impact of a Cell-Based Quadrivalent Influenza Vaccine in Adults in the US: A Dynamic Modeling Approach.

Mutations of the H3N2 vaccine strain during the egg-based vaccine manufacturing process partly explain the suboptimal effectiveness of traditional seasonal influenza vaccines. Cell-based influenza vaccines improve antigenic match and vaccine effectiveness by avoiding such egg-adaptation. This study evaluated the public health and economic impact of a cell-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVc) in adults (18-64 years) compared to the standard egg-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVe) in the US. The impact of QIVc over QIVe in public health and cost outcomes was estimated using a dynamic age-structured SEIR transmission model, which accounted for four circulating influenza strains [A/H1N1pdm9, A/H3N2, B(Victoria), and B(Yamagata)] and was calibrated on the 2013-2018 influenza seasons. The robustness of the results was assessed in univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Switching from QIVe to QIVc in 18- to 64-year-olds may prevent 5.7 million symptomatic cases, 1.8 million outpatient visits, 50,000 hospitalizations, and 5453 deaths annually. The switch could save 128,000 Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) and US $ 845 M in direct costs, resulting in cost-savings in a three-year time horizon analysis. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the cost-saving result. The analysis shows that QIVc is expected to prevent hospitalizations and deaths, and result in substantial savings in healthcare costs.

Comparing the Clinical and Economic Outcomes Associated with Adjuvanted versus High-Dose Trivalent Influenza Vaccine among Adults Aged ≥ 65 Years in the US during the 2019-20 Influenza Season-A Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

The burden of influenza is disproportionally higher among older adults. We evaluated the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of adjuvanted trivalent (aIIV3) compared to high-dose trivalent influenza vaccine (HD-IIV3e) against influenza and cardio-respiratory disease (CRD)-related hospitalizations/ER visits among adults ≥65 years during the 2019-2020 influenza season. Economic outcomes were also compared. A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted using prescription, professional fee claims, and hospital data. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to adjust for confounding. IPTW-adjusted Poisson regression was used to evaluate the adjusted rVE of aIIV3 versus HD-IIV3e. All-cause and influenza-related healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs were examined post-IPTW. Recycled predictions from generalized linear models were used to estimate adjusted costs. Adjusted analysis showed that aIIV3 (n = 798,987) was similarly effective compared to HD-IIV3e (n = 1,655,979) in preventing influenza-related hospitalizations/ER visits (rVE 3.1%; 95% CI: -2.8%; 8.6%), hospitalizations due to any cause (-0.7%; 95% CI: -1.6%; 0.3%), and any CRD-related hospitalization/ER visit (0.9%; 95% CI: 0.01%; 1.7%). Adjusted HCRU and annualized costs were also statistically insignificant between the two cohorts. The adjusted clinical and economic outcomes evaluated in this study were comparable between aIIV3 and HD-IIV3e during the 2019-2020 influenza season.

The cost-effectiveness of an adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine in the United Kingdom.

In the United Kingdom (UK), both the MF59-adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine (aQIV) and the high-dose QIV (QIV-HD) are preferred for persons aged 65 years and older but only aQIV is reimbursed by the National Health Service (NHS). The objective was to determine the potential cost-effectiveness of vaccinating adults aged 65 years and above with aQIV compared with QIV-HD in the UK. A dynamic transmission model, calibrated to match infection data from the UK, was used to estimate the impact of vaccination in 10 influenza seasons. Vaccine effectiveness was based on a meta-analysis that concluded the vaccines were not significantly different. Vaccine coverage, physician visits, hospitalizations, deaths, utility losses and NHS costs were estimated using published UK sources. The list price of aQIV was £11.88 while a range of prices were tested for QIV-HD. The price of the trivalent high-dose vaccine (TIV-HD) is £20.00 but a list price for QIV-HD is not yet available. The projected differences between the vaccines in terms of clinical cases and influenza treatment costs are minimal. Our analysis demonstrates that in order to be cost-effective, the price of QIV-HD must be similar to that of aQIV and may range from £7.57 to £12.94 depending on the relative effectiveness of the vaccines. The results of the analysis were most sensitive to variation in vaccine effectiveness and the rate of hospitalization due to influenza. Given the evidence, aQIV is cost-saving unless QIV-HD is priced lower than the existing list price of TIV-HD.

Custo-efetividade da vacina contra influenza quadrivalente baseada em células comparada com a trivalente baseada em ovo do Programa Nacional de Imunizações brasileiro / Cost-effectiveness of cell-based quadrivalent versus egg-based trivalent influenza vaccination in the Brazilian National Immunization Program

Objetivos: Este estudo teve como objetivo avaliar desfechos clínico-econômicos associados à vacina contra influenza quadrivalente baseada em células (QIVc) versus a vacina trivalente atualmente utilizada (TIVe) para prevenção sazonal de influenza no Programa Nacional de Imunizações (PNI) brasileiro. Métodos: Um modelo estático de árvore de decisão foi usado. Considerou-se um total de 54.071.642 indivíduos vacinados em 2019; a circulação de influenza por subtipo foi baseada em dados de vigilância epidemiológica. A efetividade da vacina (EV) TIVe foi extraída de metanálises publicadas; já a EV relativa da QIVc foi retirada de um estudo observacional retrospectivo. A incompatibilidade antigênica da vacina com vírus circulantes foi baseada em fontes retrospectivas internacionais. O uso de recursos baseou-se em estudos do mundo real. Custos unitários foram retirados de tabelas-padrão publicados em 2019 em reais (BRL). Resultados: Substituir a TIVe pela QIVc pode evitar, anualmente, casos sintomáticos (452.065) e reduzir visitas ambulatoriais (118.735), hospitalizações (15.466), mortes (2.753), custos médicos (-BRL 46.677.357) e custos indiretos (-BRL 59.962.135). O número anual de anos de vida ajustados por qualidade de vida (QALYs) pode aumentar em 96.129. Resultados de base a partir da perspectiva do pagador mostram uma razão de custo-efetividade incremental (RCEI) de BRL 17.293/QALY e, da perspectiva da sociedade, o RCEI obtido foi de um ganho de BRL 16.669/QALY. Usando o Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) brasileiro como um limiar (BRL 34.533/QALY), trocar a TIVe pela QIVc no PNI pode ser uma estratégia altamente custo-efetiva. Conclusões: O uso da QIVc pelo PNI tem potencial para ser altamente custo-efetivo tanto da perspectiva do pagador quanto da sociedade

Objectives: This study aimed to estimate health and economic outcomes associated to cell-based quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIVc) versus current trivalent influenza vaccines (TIVe) for seasonal influenza prevention in the Brazilian National Immunization Program (NIP), from the societal and public payer perspectives. Methods: A 1-year static decision-tree model based on literature was used. 54,071,642 total vaccinated individuals in 2019 were considered; influenza subtype circulation was based on Brazilian epidemiologic data (2009-2019). TIVe vaccine effectiveness (VE) was extracted from a published meta-analysis and QIVc relative VE from an international retrospective observational study. A/H3N2 egg-adaptation and B mismatch to recommended strain were gathered from international retrospective sources. Resource use was obtained from real-world studies. Inputs were adjusted to influenza subtype and multiple age groups with Brazilian literature. Unit costs were retrieved from published standard tables in 2019 Brazilian Reais (BRL). Results: Replacing TIVe with QIVc, can annually avert symptomatic cases (452,065) and reduce outpatient visits (118,735); hospitalizations (15,466), deaths (2,753), overall medical direct costs (-BRL 46,677,357) and indirect costs (-BRL 59,962,135). The annual number of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) could be increased by 96,129. Base case results from the payer perspective show an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of BRL 17,293/QALY gained and from the societal perspective the ICER obtained was BRL 16,669/QALY gained. Using the Brazilian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a threshold (BRL 34,533/QALY) switching TIVe with QIVc in the NIP can be a highly cost-effective strategy, leading to a high QALY increment and preventing medical and indirect costs. Conclusions: The use of QIVc by the NIP has the potential to be highly cost-effective in the payer and society perspective